Part of Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31?
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
4.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$621.86
Liquidity
$13,779.90
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
7%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
3.7%
Spread
0.60% (1622bps)
Depth
$13.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-house-election-republican-odds-over-60-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
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