Part of Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
4.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.3% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$621.86
Liquidity
$13,779.90
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
7%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.7%
Spread
0.60% (1622bps)
Depth
$13.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
under 15%
40.5%Trade
over 30%
15.0%Trade
over 40%
11.0%Trade
under 10%
7.5%Trade
over 50%
7.0%Trade
over 60%
3.7%Trade
over 25%
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-house-election-republican-odds-over-60-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

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