Current YES Probability
0.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$24,848.46
Liquidity
$647.57
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.70%
Spread
0.40% (5714bps)
Depth
$648
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market resolves “Yes” if 50-year GSE-eligible mortgages are approved by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying approval requires that either:
A) The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) officially approves 50-year mortgages. An approval alone will qualify, regardless of whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac subsequently update their guidelines.
B) Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac officially makes 50-year mortgages eligible for purchase or guaranty.
Only changes regarding new-origination, first-lien, fully amortizing 50-year mortgages will qualify. Other arrangements (e.g., limited pilots, post-origination term changes, junior-lien or revolving products, loss-mitigation programs, etc.) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source is official information from the FHFA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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