Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 86.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$447.41
Liquidity
$565.39
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
28%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
14%
Spread
4.00% (2857bps)
Depth
$565
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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