AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
96.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 16.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$731.57
Liquidity
$506.50
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
33%

Market Microstructure

Mid
84%
Spread
25.00% (2994bps)
Depth
$507
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

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