Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Rank #10421·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
80.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 24.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,248.68
Liquidity
$1,732.96
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
48%

Market Microstructure

Mid
76%
Spread
8.00% (1053bps)
Depth
$1.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth installment in James Cameron's Avatar series is explicitly announced to be in production or preparing to enter production by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the film must be explicitly acknowledged by James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, its distributor/studio (e.g., 20th Century Studios), or that distributor/studio's parent company (e.g., Disney) to be a sequel to "Avatar: Fire and Ash", and have a similar sequential relationship to the one between "Avatar: The Way of Water" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash". An announcement of a new qualifying film before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced film becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, a qualifying film's distributor (e.g., 20th Century Studios) or parent company (e.g., Disney), or a consensus of credible sources.

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