Part of Bank of England decision in February?

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?

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polymarket
Resolves Feb 5, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
10.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.3% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,229.54
Liquidity
$4,446.07
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
19%

Market Microstructure

Mid
9.7%
Spread
1.40% (1443bps)
Depth
$4.4k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 5, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
No change in Bank of England's interest rates
88.0%Trade
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps
9.7%Trade
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps
2.1%Trade
Bank of England increases interest rates
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for February is scheduled to be released on February 5. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's February 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their February meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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