CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
Rank #6722·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
1.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$35,635.14
Liquidity
$3,367.76
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.70%
Spread
0.80% (11429bps)
Depth
$3.4k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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