China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
Rank #6628·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$157,518.30
Liquidity
$6,344.63
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.55%
Spread
0.30% (5455bps)
Depth
$6.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either China (People's Republic of China) or Japan formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from either the Chinese or Japanese government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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