Current YES Probability
7.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$254.47
Liquidity
$188.82
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
11%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
5.5%
Spread
3.00% (5455bps)
Depth
$189
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that American International Group (AIG) Insurance will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Chubb Insurance, or vice versa, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Chubb or AIG will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Chubb or AIG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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