Part of Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
1.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,216.01
Liquidity
$1,741.69
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.80%
Spread
0.40% (5000bps)
Depth
$1.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
June 30
4.5%Trade
January 31
0.8%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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