Part of First out of Trump Cabinet by end of 2026? (Duplicate)

duplicate Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
24.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 87.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$136.05
Liquidity
$87.91
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
25%

Market Microstructure

Mid
13%
Spread
23.00% (18400bps)
Depth
$88
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Pete Hegseth
41.0%Trade
Chris Wright
35.9%Trade
Pam Bondi
35.6%Trade
Kristi Noem
35.6%Trade
Marco Rubio
35.5%Trade
Scott Bessent
35.5%Trade
Tulsi Gabbard
35.5%Trade
Susie Wiles
25.5%Trade
Doug Collins
24.9%Trade
Brooke Rollins
14.9%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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