ECB rate cut in 2025?
Rank #10238·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$310,638.65
Liquidity
$11,200.02
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.35%
Spread
0.30% (8571bps)
Depth
$11.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank's deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between August 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trending in Economics
#1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#3
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%