Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
Rank #11099·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$71,081.25
Liquidity
$11,206.88
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
20%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
10%
Spread
2.00% (2000bps)
Depth
$11.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the Republic of Türkiye Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is removed from power for any length of time between July 24, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Erdoğan will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Türkiye within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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