Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$4,078.66
Liquidity
$4,784.73
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
15%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
7.5%
Spread
3.00% (4000bps)
Depth
$4.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed a politician are made public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising materials or information (such as photos, videos, documents, or incriminating knowledge) to coerce, extort, manipulate, or otherwise gain leverage over a specific person or persons.
Qualifying evidence that Epstein blackmailed any individual requires one of the following:
- A direct statement within the newly released files demonstrating that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.
- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that the newly released files show that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.
- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that Epstein used any materials released as part of the newly released files for blackmail.
General references to Epstein possessing damaging information, vague insinuations, or speculative commentary will not qualify.
Mentions of “leverage,” “influence,” “favors,” or similar language will not qualify unless clearly tied to the use or attempted use of compromising materials for blackmail as defined in this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the content of any released files and a consensus of credible reporting.
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