Current YES Probability
1.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$5,752.76
Liquidity
$9,877.93
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
4%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.8%
Spread
0.10% (571bps)
Depth
$9.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
On December 15, 2025, Donald Trump publicly referenced allegations that Rep. Ilhan Omar married her brother. On the following day, Tom Homan, former acting ICE director and Trump administration border czar, said officials are reviewing historical records related to the allegations, with no charges announced.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming that Ilhan Omar has been married to her brother for any period of time is publicly released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, it will also suffice if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally files criminal charges or announces an indictment against Ilhan Omar that clearly and explicitly accuse her of having married her brother, including charges brought under immigration or marriage-fraud statutes such allegations that she knowingly entered into a marriage with her brother to obtain or facilitate U.S. immigration or legal status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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