Part of Fed rate cut by...?
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Rank #7701·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 28, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
15.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 89.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,910.89
Liquidity
$24,921.75
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
22%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
11%
Spread
8.00% (7273bps)
Depth
$24.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 28, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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