Part of Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Rank #12184·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
96.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 5.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,024.37
Liquidity
$27,891.55
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
10%

Market Microstructure

Mid
95%
Spread
2.00% (211bps)
Depth
$27.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 17, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
cut by June
95.0%Trade
cut by April
83.5%Trade
cut by March
55.0%Trade
cut by January
11.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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