Fed rate hike in 2026?
Rank #7229·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 9, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$5,471.34
Liquidity
$24,112.48
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
20%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
10%
Spread
2.00% (2000bps)
Depth
$24.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 9, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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