Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
6.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$3,988.44
Liquidity
$16,477.55
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
9%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.7%
Spread
2.70% (5806bps)
Depth
$16.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
his market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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