Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Rank #12270·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 86.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$5,789.24
Liquidity
$5,799.64
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
28%

Market Microstructure

Mid
14%
Spread
4.00% (2857bps)
Depth
$5.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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