Part of Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
33.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 79.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$131.75
Liquidity
$278.04
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
42%

Market Microstructure

Mid
21%
Spread
24.00% (11429bps)
Depth
$278
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026
21.0%Trade
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31
0.3%Trade
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

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