Part of GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

Rank #7555·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$22,404.41
Liquidity
$1,863.64
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.35%
Spread
0.30% (8571bps)
Depth
$1.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31
0.4%Trade
November 30
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if GPT-5 achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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