Part of Grok 4.20 released by...?
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
95.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 6.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,859.21
Liquidity
$2,083.36
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
13%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
94%
Spread
3.00% (321bps)
Depth
$2.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1 similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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