Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Q: Next James Bond actor? - Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Current market consensus shows a 6% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

6.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 96.7%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$24,272.88

Liquidity

$5,237.17

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

3.3%

Spread

5.40% (16364bps)

Depth

$5.2k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 30, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
No one	45.0%	Trade
Callum Turner	23.0%	Trade
Aaron Taylor-Johnson	6.8%	Trade
Jack Lowdon	5.5%	Trade
Tom Holland	5.1%	Trade
Henry Cavill	4.2%	Trade
Harris Dickinson	3.3%	Trade
James Norton	2.9%	Trade
Jacob Elordi	1.8%	Trade
Tom Hardy	0.9%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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