Hemedti out of power by December 31?

Q: Hemedti out of power by December 31?

Current market consensus shows a 3% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #4841·0 on watchlist

Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

3.5%0.0% (24h)

NO: 96.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Last 24h trend

Volume (Period)

—

Total Volume

$1,372.60

Liquidity

$3,832.27

Thin

Volatility

—

Confidence (R²)

—

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio

-%/-%

Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-

Retail Sentiment-

Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes

BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

Platform	Yes	No	Action
polymarket	-	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemedti), current head of the sudanese paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), is removed from power for any length of time between August 27, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hemedti will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trending in General

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