Part of Musk challengers

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Rank #12938·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Feb 1, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
7.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$26.81
Liquidity
$170.04
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
14%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.0%
Spread
4.00% (8000bps)
Open Interest
327 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 1, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
13.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
8.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
7.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
5.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
4.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
4.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
4.0%Trade
many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in
3.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%