Iran Nuke before 2027?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$868.75
Liquidity
$3,592.84
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
30%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
15%
Spread
2.00% (1333bps)
Depth
$3.6k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trending in Politics
#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%