Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$16,774.62
Liquidity
$2,857.18
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.30%
Spread
0.40% (13333bps)
Depth
$2.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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