Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?
Rank #11182·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.8%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$71,939.13
Liquidity
$3,445.07
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
0%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.20%
Spread
0.20% (10000bps)
Depth
$3.4k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, the Israeli government officially and unambiguously acknowledges that it possesses nuclear weapons by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Leaked documents, anonymous sources, or reports from non-Israeli officials will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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