Part of Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by...?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31, 2025?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
2.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,952.68
Liquidity
$3,926.95
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.0%
Spread
1.60% (8000bps)
Depth
$3.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December
2.0%Trade
October
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Joseph Aoun will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Lebanon within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%