Current YES Probability
66.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 64.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$4,706.93
Liquidity
$71.98
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
71%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
36%
Spread
61.00% (17183bps)
Depth
$72
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
A Nevada federal judge ruled that Kalshi’s sports event contracts are subject to Nevada gaming rules, rather than exclusively subject to the federal jurisdiction of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/kalshi-is-subject-nevada-gaming-rules-judge-finds-2025-11-26/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kalshi stops listing new sports event contracts in the state of Nevada by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Stops” refers to any halt—whether permanent or temporary—in Kalshi’s listing of new sports event contracts that is intentional and not simply a result of routine operations. Delays caused by gaps between sporting events, technical problems, or other unintentional factors will not qualify.
An official announcement from Kalshi that it will stop listing new sports event contracts in Nevada will suffice to resolve this market, even if the announced stop is not yet implemented. A consensus of credible reporting indicating that Kalshi has stopped listing new sports event contracts in Nevada will also suffice.
If Kalshi announces the removal of, or is reported by a consensus of credible media to have removed, all sports event contracts from their platform in Nevada, this will count as a qualifying stop.
A stop limited to a specific subset of sports event contracts (e.g. prop bets or parlays), that does not include contracts on the win/lose outcomes of sporting events, will not qualify.
The primary sources of resolution for this market will be official information from Kalshi; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trending in General
#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%

