Part of Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Rank #13041·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
48.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 64.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$775.15
Liquidity
$375.03
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
71%

Market Microstructure

Mid
36%
Spread
25.00% (7042bps)
Depth
$375
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31, 2026
44.5%Trade
June 30, 2026
35.5%Trade
December 31
0.4%Trade
October 31
-Trade
November 30
-Trade

Resolution Rules

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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