Current YES Probability
12.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 87.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$4,242.61
Liquidity
$1,172.86
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trending in General
No trending events found.

