Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Rank #7369·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
75.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 26.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$9,105.48
Liquidity
$6,725.63
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
52%

Market Microstructure

Mid
74%
Spread
2.00% (270bps)
Depth
$6.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period of time between December 12, 2025 and June 30, 2026, otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if Parliament is dissolved before June 30, 2026. This markets resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the Liberal Party of Canada, not any alliance or coalition of which it may be a part. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%