Part of Lighter FDV above ___ one day after launch? (2026)

Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Rank #75·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
99.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 0.7% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$639,392.65
Liquidity
$120,278.31
Deep
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
99%
Spread
0.60% (60bps)
Depth
$120.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
FDV above $1B
99.3%Trade
FDV above $2B
84.0%Trade
FDV above $3B
41.5%Trade
FDV above $4B
10.5%Trade
FDV above $5B
4.5%Trade
FDV above $6B
2.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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