Part of Lighter FDV above ___ one day after launch? (2026)
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Rank #2123·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
12.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 89.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$23,088.74
Liquidity
$15,504.82
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
21%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
11%
Spread
3.00% (2857bps)
Depth
$15.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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