Part of Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Rank #190·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
87.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 13.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$10,075,529.12
Liquidity
$134,916.29
Deep
Volatility
—
Market Split
27%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
87%
Spread
1.00% (116bps)
Depth
$134.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
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