Part of Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Rank #711·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.4%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,120,429.75
Liquidity
$109,335.54
Deep
Volatility
—
Market Split
3%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.7%
Spread
0.30% (1818bps)
Depth
$109.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $8,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Trending in General
#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%