Luigi Mangione mistrial?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
2.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$20,007.16
Liquidity
$5,089.77
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
4%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
2.1%
Spread
1.70% (8293bps)
Depth
$5.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a judge declares a mistrial in either of Luigi Mangione's ongoing federal or state cases by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mistrial only needs to be declared in one of Mangione's ongoing cases for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If all ongoing cases as of February 25, 2025 resolve without a mistrial being declared, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from the ruling courts in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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