Part of Macron out by...?

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Rank #8468·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$105,009.70
Liquidity
$19,518.39
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
16%

Market Microstructure

Mid
8.0%
Spread
2.00% (2500bps)
Depth
$19.5k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
by June 30, 2026
8.0%Trade
in 2025
0.3%Trade
by October 31, 2025
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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