Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
Rank #12586·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
11.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 91.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,081.58
Liquidity
$1,427.12
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
17%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
8.7%
Spread
6.00% (6897bps)
Depth
$1.4k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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