Current YES Probability
8.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$480.27
Liquidity
$1,891.37
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
12%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
6.0%
Spread
4.00% (6667bps)
Depth
$1.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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