Current YES Probability
1.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$27,947.11
Liquidity
$6,226.34
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
3%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.5%
Spread
0.80% (5333bps)
Depth
$6.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's Llama 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Llama 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
Llama 5 refers to a product explicitly named Llama 5.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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