Part of Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$53,017.84
Liquidity
$4,024.10
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
56%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.35%
Spread
0.30% (8571bps)
Depth
$4.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
June 30
41.0%Trade
March 31
23.4%Trade
December 31
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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