Part of Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31?
Rank #14123·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
6.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$7,843.01
Liquidity
$659.56
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
9%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.4%
Spread
4.70% (10805bps)
Depth
$660
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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