Part of Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Rank #9884·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
80.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 39.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
—
Liquidity
$112.46
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
79%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
61%
Spread
39.00% (6446bps)
Depth
$112
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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