Current YES Probability
64.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 57.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$3.53
Liquidity
$230.77
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
85%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
43%
Spread
43.00% (10118bps)
Depth
$231
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 2, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the 1-week trailing percentage return of the Nancy Pelosi Index is positive for the last trading day of the week beginning December 29.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the 1-week trailing percentage return of the Nancy Pelosi Index is negative for the last trading day of the week beginning December 29.
If the listed performance figure is flat, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for the Nancy Pelosi Index is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096. Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is published for all dates within the specified trading period.
If the specified index does not trade at all during the regular session, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If the 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will use the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week as the effective 1-week trailing percentage return for that day.
Updates to historical prices or figures displayed by the listed index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodology utilized by the specified index as of the resolution time, regardless of whether that methodology is later updated.
Trending in Economics
#1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
+0.0%

