NATO Article 5 by March 31?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
5.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,243.89
Liquidity
$1,179.82
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
8%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.0%
Spread
3.70% (9136bps)
Depth
$1.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
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