NATO article 5 in 2025?
Rank #4060·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$294,845.88
Liquidity
$8,842.43
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.35%
Spread
0.10% (2857bps)
Depth
$8.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
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