PolymarketScience & Tech

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yespolymarket
57%
Uncertain57¢ implied
Price History
History not available yet

Outcomes

Yes
57%
No
43%
Last update:

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Market CloseDec 31, 2026